{"id":7191,"date":"2025-08-20T10:30:44","date_gmt":"2025-08-20T01:30:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.hakueikai.or.jp\/akabane\/?p=7191"},"modified":"2025-08-20T10:39:26","modified_gmt":"2025-08-20T01:39:26","slug":"%e3%81%93%e3%81%ae%e5%a4%8f%e3%81%ae%e3%83%aa%e3%82%a2%e3%83%ab","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.hakueikai.or.jp\/akabane\/%e3%81%93%e3%81%ae%e5%a4%8f%e3%81%ae%e3%83%aa%e3%82%a2%e3%83%ab\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3053\u306e\u590f\u306e\u30ea\u30a2\u30eb"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"p1\">\u3000\u713c\u3051\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3002\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3082\u3088\u3044\u3088\u3046\u306a\u731b\u70c8\u306a\u6691\u3055\u304c\u7d9a\u304d\u3001 \u305d\u3046\u304b\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3068\u8a18\u9332\u7684\u306a\u8c6a\u96e8\u304c\u5404\u5730\u3092\u8972\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u79c1\u304c\u5b50\u3069\u3082\u306e\u9803\u306f <span class=\"s1\">30 <\/span>\u5ea6\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3082\u3001\u4eca\u65e5\u306f <span class=\"s1\">30 <\/span>\u5ea6\u3082\u3042\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3068\u5606\u3044\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u4eca\u3084 <span class=\"s1\">40 <\/span>\u5ea6\u8d85\u3048\u3082\u305f\u3073\u305f\u3073\u3042\u308b\u7a0b\u306e\u6642\u4ee3\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002 \u300c\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u300d\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8a00\u8449\u304c\u5e38\u8b58\u306b\u306a\u3063\u3066\u306f\u3044\u308b\u3082\u306e\u306e\u3001\u305d\u308c\u3092\u78ba\u304b\u306a\u5f62\u3067\u5b9f\u611f\u3059\u308b\u6bce\u65e5\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\u3002 \u300c\u707c\u71b1\u306e \u5730\u306b\u5bdd\u3053\u308d\u3073\u3066 \u7a7a\u9752\u3057\u300d\uff08\u6c34\u539f\u79cb\u685c\u5b50 <span class=\"s1\">1892-1981<\/span>\uff09 \uff09\u3068\u3044\u3046\u4ff3\u53e5\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u4eca\u3084\u3053\u306e\u6691\u3055\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u5730\u306b\u5bdd\u3053\u308d\u3093\u3067\u305d\u306e\u98a8\u60c5\u3092\u697d\u3057\u3080\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3053\u3068\u306a\u3069\u3001<span class=\"s1\">1 <\/span>\u5206\u305f\u308a\u3068\u3082\u3067\u304d\u306a\u3044\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span class=\"s1\">\u3000IPCC<\/span>\uff08\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u52d5\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u653f\u5e9c\u9593\u30d1\u30cd\u30eb\uff09\u304c\u793a\u3059\u300c\u3053\u306e\u307e\u307e\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u5bfe\u7b56\u3092\u3057\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u5834\u5408\u306e\u6700\u60aa\u306e\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u300d\uff08<span class=\"s1\">AR5:RCP8.5 <\/span>\u307e\u305f\u306f<span class=\"s1\">AR6:SSP5-8.5 <\/span>\u5831\u544a\uff09\u3084\u305d\u306e\u4ed6\u4e16\u754c\u7d4c\u6e08\u30d5\u30a9\u30fc\u30e9\u30e0\u306a\u3069\u306e\u516c\u7684\u6a5f\u95a2\u306e\u5831\u544a\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001<span class=\"s1\">2100 <\/span>\u5e74\u306b\u304b\u3051\u3066\u5730\u7403\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u6c17\u6e29\u306f\u7d04 <span class=\"s1\">4.4 <\/span>\u2103\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3001\u6d77\u9762\u306f\u6700\u5927 <span class=\"s1\">1 m <\/span>\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4e0a\u6607\u3059\u308b\u3068\u4e88\u6e2c\u3055\u308c\u3001<span class=\"s1\">2050 <\/span>\u5e74\u306e\u6642\u70b9\u307e\u3067\u306b\u3001\u6691\u3055\u304c\u76f4\u63a5\u306e\u539f\u56e0\u306b\u3088\u308a<span class=\"s1\">1450 <\/span>\u4e07\u4eba\u304c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3001<span class=\"s1\">12.5 <\/span>\u5146\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u7d4c\u6e08\u640d\u5931\u3092\u88ab\u308a\u3001\u8fb2\u696d\u53ce\u91cf\u306f\u4e3b\u8981\u7a40\u7269\u3067 <span class=\"s1\">1<\/span>\u301c<span class=\"s1\">2 <\/span>\u5272\u898f\u6a21\u306e\u6e1b\u5c11\u304c\u898b\u8fbc\u307e\u308c\u3001\u6bce\u5e74 <span class=\"s1\">3 <\/span>\u5104\u4eba\u304c\u6d2a\u6c34\u306b\u898b\u821e\u308f\u308c\u3001\u30a2\u30b8\u30a2\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3082 <span class=\"s1\">200 <\/span>\u4e07\u4eba\u304c\u6d77\u9762\u4e0a\u6607\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u79fb\u4f4f\u3092\u4f59\u5100\u306a\u304f\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6c17\u8c61\u5e81\u306f\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u3067\u306f\u540c\u3058\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u3067\u3001<span class=\"s1\">1 <\/span>\u65e5\u964d\u6c34\u91cf<span class=\"s1\">100 mm <\/span>\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306e\u65e5\u304c\u7d04<span class=\"s1\">1.4 <\/span>\u500d\u306b\u5897\u52a0\u3001<span class=\"s1\">200 mm <\/span>\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306e\u65e5\u304c\u7d04<span class=\"s1\">2.3 <\/span>\u500d\u306b\u5897\u52a0\u3001\u6885\u96e8\u306e\u6975\u7aef\u8c6a\u96e8\u983b\u5ea6\u306f\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306e<span class=\"s1\">1.5 <\/span>\u500d\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u4e88\u6e2c\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">\u3000\u6771\u4eac\u90fd\u5317\u533a\u306f\u3053\u306e<span class=\"s1\">RCP8.5 <\/span>\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u3067\u306e\u5317\u533a\u5468\u8fba\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u6c17\u5019\u306e\u5c06\u6765\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u884c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u305d\u308c\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001 <span class=\"s1\">1951-2010 <\/span>\u5e74\u306e\u904e\u53bb\u5e73\u5747\u306b\u6bd4\u3079\u3066\u3001 <span class=\"s1\">2040 <\/span>\u5e74\u307e\u3067\u306b\u306f\u3001\u6700\u4f4e\u6c17\u6e29\u3001\u5e73\u5747\u6c17\u6e29\u3001\u6700\u9ad8\u6c17\u6e29\u306f\u901a\u5e74\u3067<span class=\"s1\"> 1.6<\/span>\u2103\uff5e<span class=\"s1\">2.6<\/span>\u2103\u306e\u6c17\u6e29\u4e0a\u6607\u3001\u771f\u590f\u65e5\u65e5\u6570\u306f\u5e74\u9593<span class=\"s1\"> 63.4 <\/span>\u65e5\u3068\u7d04<span class=\"s1\"> 1.4 <\/span>\u500d\u306b\u3001\u71b1\u5e2f\u591c\u306f\u5e74\u9593<span class=\"s1\"> 44.0 <\/span>\u65e5\u3068\u7d04\uff12\u500d\u306b\u5897\u52a0\u3001\u78ba\u7387\u964d\u6c34\u91cf\uff08\u3042\u308b\u671f\u9593\u306b\uff11\u5ea6\u767a\u751f\u3059\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u308b\u964d\u6c34\u91cf\uff09\u306f\u3001<span class=\"s1\">30 <\/span>\u5e74\u306b\uff11\u5ea6\u306e\u8c6a\u96e8\u306f\u3001\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u7d04<span class=\"s1\"> 78mm\/<\/span>\u6642\u9593\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3001\u7d04<span class=\"s1\"> 95mm\/<\/span>\u6642\u9593\u306b\u5897\u5927\u3059\u308b\u3068\u898b\u8fbc\u3093\u3067\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">\u3000\u6c17\u5019\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306f\u3001\u5358\u306b\u71b1\u4e2d\u75c7\u60a3\u8005\u306e\u5897\u52a0\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u8fb2\u696d\u3001\u68ee\u6797\u30fb\u6797\u696d\u3001\u6c34\u7523\u696d\u3001\u6c34\u74b0\u5883\u30fb\u6c34\u8cc7\u6e90\u3001\u81ea\u7136\u751f\u614b\u7cfb\u3001\u81ea\u7136\u707d\u5bb3\u3001\u5065\u5eb7\u3001\u7523\u696d\u30fb\u7d4c\u6e08\u6d3b\u52d5\u3001\u56fd\u6c11\u751f\u6d3b\u30fb\u90fd\u5e02\u751f\u6d3b\u3059\u3079\u3066\u306b\u308f\u305f\u3063\u3066\u751a\u5927\u306a\u5f71\u97ff\u304c\u78ba\u5b9f\u306b\u898b\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3068\u653f\u5e9c\u306e\u5404\u6a5f\u95a2\u304b\u3089\u8b66\u9418\u304c\u9cf4\u3089\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u4e8c\u9178\u5316\u70ad\u7d20\u6392\u51fa\u91cf\u306e\u6291\u5236\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u3042\u3089\u3086\u308b\u9632\u5fa1\u7b56\u3092\u8b1b\u3058\u3066\u3044\u304b\u306d\u3070\u306a\u308a\u307e\u305b\u3093\u3002<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">\u3000\u3061\u306a\u307f\u306b\u3001\u4e00\u90e8\u306e\u5b66\u8005\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306f\u78ba\u304b\u306b\u73fe\u5728\u8a8d\u3081\u3089\u308c\u308b\u304c\u305d\u308c\u306f\u4e8c\u9178\u5316\u70ad\u7d20\u6392\u51fa\u91cf\u306e\u5897\u52a0\uff08\u7523\u696d\u9769\u547d\u524d\u306b\u6bd4\u8f03\u3057\u3066\u73fe\u5728 <span class=\"s1\">1.5 <\/span>\u500d\uff09\u304c\u539f\u56e0\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3068\u8ad6\u3058\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u7d04<span class=\"s1\">4<\/span>\u5104 <span class=\"s1\">5 <\/span>\u5343\u5e74\u524d\uff08\u30aa\u30eb\u30c9\u30d3\u30b9\u7d00\u672b\uff09\u306b\u306f\u3001\u5927\u6c17\u4e2d\u306e\u4e8c\u9178\u5316\u70ad\u7d20\u6fc3\u5ea6\u304c\u73fe\u5728\u306e <span class=\"s1\">20 <\/span>\u500d\u3060\u3063\u305f\u306b\u3082\u304b\u304b\u308f\u3089\u305a\u5730\u7403\u306f\u9006\u306b\u6c37\u6cb3\u671f\u3060\u3063\u305f\u3053\u3068\u304c\u305d\u306e\u8ad6\u62e0\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3055\u3089\u306b\u592a\u967d\u6d3b\u52d5\u306e\u5909\u5316\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u5730\u7403\u306f\u3080\u3057\u308d\u51b7\u5374\u5316\u3057\u3066\u3044\u304f\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u3059\u3089\u4e88\u60f3\u3082\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3082\u51b7\u5374\u5316\u306e\u65b9\u304c\u3001\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u3088\u308a\u3082\u3082\u3063\u3068\u6df1\u523b\u306a\u5f71\u97ff\u304c\u3067\u308b\u3068\u8b66\u544a\u3082\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">\u3000\u305d\u308c\u306f\u3068\u3082\u304b\u304f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u3053\u308c\u307e\u3067\u306e\u901a\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u3068\u6bd4\u3079\u3066\u660e\u3089\u304b\u306b\u6691\u304f\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4e2d\u3001\u5f53\u9762\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u6691\u3055\u5bfe\u7b56\u3092\u8b1b\u3058\u308b\u304b\u3092\u5341\u4e8c\u5206\u306b\u8003\u3048\u306a\u3051\u308c\u3070\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u306f\u4e8b\u5b9f\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">\u3000\u533b\u7642\u6a5f\u95a2\u306f\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4e2d\u3067\u3042\u308b\u610f\u5473\u6700\u5f8c\u306e\u7826\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u5f37\u304f\u81ea\u899a\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3066\u304a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u5f53\u9662\u3067\u306f\u3001\u71b1\u4e2d\u75c7\u3084\u590f\u306b\u591a\u3044\u3068\u3055\u308c\u308b\u5faa\u74b0\u5668\u75be\u60a3\u3084\u6025\u6027\u80c6\u56a2\u708e\u306a\u3069\u3001\u5730\u57df\u306e\u7686\u69d8\u306e\u7dca\u6025\u7684\u4e8b\u614b\u306b\u6700\u5927\u9650\u5bfe\u5fdc\u3067\u304d\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306b\u6551\u6025\u533b\u7642\u3084\u5916\u79d1\u7684\u533b\u7642\u306e\u4f53\u5236\u3092\u6574\u3048\u308b\u3088\u3046\u65e5\u3005\u52aa\u529b\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u307e\u305f <span class=\"s1\">1 <\/span>\u968e\u306e\u61a9\u3044\u306e\u5e83\u5834\u3067\u306f\u3001\u7121\u6599\u306e\u6c34\u306e\u914d\u7d66\u3068\u3068\u3082\u306b\u4e00\u6642\u3067\u3082\u6dbc\u3093\u3067\u3044\u305f\u3060\u3051\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306a\u30b9\u30da\u30fc\u30b9\u3092\u7528\u610f\u3044\u305f\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u5730\u57df\u306e\u7686\u69d8\u304c\u6c17\u517c\u306d\u306a\u304f\u7acb\u3061\u5bc4\u308c\u308b\u5834\u6240\u3068\u306a\u308c\u3070\u3068\u601d\u3063\u3066\u304a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\">\u3000\u7686\u69d8\u306b\u304a\u304b\u308c\u307e\u3057\u3066\u306f\u3001\u5f15\u304d\u7d9a\u304d\u6691\u3055\u5bfe\u7b56\u3092\u4e07\u5168\u306b\u3057\u3001\u5065\u3084\u304b\u306a\u590f\u3092\u904e\u3054\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3088\u3046\u306b\u5fc3\u3088\u308a\u7948\u5ff5\u3044\u305f\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u3000\u713c\u3051\u308b\u3088\u3046\u306a\u3002\u3068\u8a00\u3063\u3066\u3082\u3088\u3044\u3088\u3046\u306a\u731b\u70c8\u306a\u6691\u3055\u304c\u7d9a\u304d\u3001 \u305d\u3046\u304b\u3068\u601d\u3046\u3068\u8a18\u9332\u7684\u306a\u8c6a\u96e8\u304c\u5404\u5730\u3092\u8972\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u79c1\u304c\u5b50\u3069\u3082\u306e\u9803\u306f 30 \u5ea6\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3082\u3001\u4eca\u65e5\u306f 30 \u5ea6\u3082\u3042\u308b\u306e\u304b\u3068\u5606\u3044\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3001\u4eca\u3084 40 \u5ea6\u8d85\u3048\u3082\u305f\u3073\u305f 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